Utah Republican Party

Today veteran political analyst Stu Rothenberg released his latest report on US House races showing even more disticts moving toward Republicans.  All California districts represented by a Republican are now rated "Leans Republican," "Republican Favored" or "Safe Republican."   Congressional Quarterly last week shifted their assessment of Reps. Brian Bilbray and Tom McClintock to "Safe Republican."

January 5, 2010

21 House Seats Move Toward GOP

Rothenberg Political Report

During our quarterly overview of all of the House races across the country, we moved 21 House seats toward the Republicans. On top of that, Republicans gained Alabama's 5th District when Cong. Parker Griffith switched to the GOP before Christmas. His seat moved from Lean Democratic to Currently Safe for the GOP.

We moved only one seat toward the Democrats (New York's 23rd). Despite recent GOP retirements in California's 19th District (George Radanovich) and South Carolina's 1st District (Henry Brown), the two seats don't make our list at this point.

And as we said in our latest overview, substantial Republican gains now look almost inevitable, with net Democratic losses likely to exceed a dozen. While Democratic control of the House is not yet at risk, losses of 15-20 seats are likely, and that target range could well grow with additional Democratic retirements and voter anger. Griffith's switch means Republicans net 40 seats for the majority.

Full story - including list and rankings of 60 House seats in play